Showing posts with label home prices. Show all posts
Showing posts with label home prices. Show all posts

Friday, August 26, 2011

Home ownership beats renting, if you can get a loan

Tight lending standards, coming up with a down payment and the carrying costs of owning a home (taxes and insurance) force many into a rental unit even if it is "more expensive" than buying.

by Broderick Perkins
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Deadline Newsroom - A new report says the cost of home ownership is a better deal than renting in three out of four U.S. cities.

It assumes buying a home is easier than it is to rent and, as many consumers discover, it ain't.

Tight lending standards, coming up with a down payment and the carrying costs of owning a home (taxes and insurance) force many into a rental unit even if it is "more expensive" than buying.

"Prospective homebuyers, who are ready and qualified to buy, face an uphill battle despite falling home prices and record-low mortgage rates," said Ken Shuman, Head of Communications at Trulia.

Shuman added, "Today, many banks are actually less enthusiastic about approving residential mortgage applications, which has dragged out the home buying process. Until a middle ground on lending practices can be met, many highly-qualified buyers may be forced to be renters by choice for now."

Trulia's Summer 2011 Rent vs. Buy Index says in 74 percent of major U.S. cities offer owner-occupied housing that's cheaper than a rental unit.

The report compares the cost of buying and renting a two-bedroom apartment, condo or townhome in the nation's 50 largest cities.

The top cities with a better deal for ownership were Las Vegas, NV; Detroit, MI; Mesa, AZ; Fresno, CA; and Arlington, TX.

Rents were the better deal in New York, NY; Fort Worth, TX; Omaha, NB; Seattle, WA; and San Francisco, CA.

Trulia's price-to-rent ratio is the median listing price divided by the annualized median rent. Buying is less expensive than renting when the ratio is 15 and under, renting is less expensive than buying whine ratios are 20 or higher.

There is a grey area between the rent versus buy spectrum. Personal circumstances, including your tax bracket, may make buying a home a better deal in Oakland, CA; Austin, TX; San Jose, CA; Memphis, TN; Boston, MA; Los Angeles, CA and Portland, even though rents are relatively cheaper.

"Many aspiring homeowners are on the fence about renting and buying in today’s market. Should they take advantage of falling home prices and low borrowing costs, or should they continue to rent until the economy stabilizes?" said Shuman.

"Price alone should never be the sole factor in deciding to purchase a home. Instead, buyers should first ask themselves if they plan to live in the home for at least seven-to-10 years, could make monthly payments on the house, and have enough cash in the bank for a down payment and an additional six to eight months worth of mortgage payments. If you can answer 'yes' to each of these questions, then the cost of buying a home definitely outweighs renting in most cities," he added.

Also, buying a home makes more sense in cities overloaded with foreclosures, but that could soon change, says Trulia.

In Miami, for example, it is still less expensive to buy, but a mini-buying boom created by investors and foreclosure freezes have caused its price-to-rent ratio to jump by 112 percent from 6 in January to 13 in July.

Meanwhile, recent job gains in the auto industry have not countered Detroit's falling home prices. For now, the city has experienced a setback since January with its price-to-rent ratio dipping 39 percent.

Las Vegas, continues to be the best place to buy instead of rent for the past six months, but investors are snatching up most of the distressed properties there.

"While recent stock market volatility on top of the slow economic recovery makes homebuyers nervous, it has not destroyed the American dream of homeownership," Shuman said.


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Broderick Perkins, an award-winning consumer journalist, parlayed 30 years of old-school journalism into a digital real estate news service, the San Jose, CA-based DeadlineNews Group, including DeadlineNews.Com, a real estate news and consulting service and Web site, and the Deadline Newsroom, DeadlineNews.Com's news back shop.

Under the DeadlineNews Group umbrella:

Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
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Tuesday, August 23, 2011

The end is near for housing slump

Despite the weakness in housing markets, economic malaise and gloomy consumers, Fiserv continues to project that home prices will remain on track to stabilize by the end of 2012.

by Broderick Perkins
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Deadline Newsroom - Don’t expect a sonic boom, but the housing market is poised to turn around next year and much of the nation should be in full-fledged recovery by 2013.

The Fiserv Case-Shiller Home Price Index for the first quarter 2011, is a lagging index, but after examining 384 markets it found signs strong enough to indicate the end is near.

“Mortgage delinquency rates have been falling for more than a year. Foreclosure rates have started to decline. The flood of bank-owned sales, which has swamped many markets, will finally begin to recede this year as fewer houses enter the foreclosure pipeline,” said David Stiff, chief economist at Fiserv.

That doesn’t mean happy days are here again just yet.

“It’s going to be a cold winter,” says Jon Sterling, director of marketing at real estate research firm Altos Research in Mountain View, CA.

Get the full story: "The End Is Near For Housing Slump"

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Broderick Perkins, an award-winning consumer journalist, parlayed 30 years of old-school journalism into a digital real estate news service, the San Jose, CA-based DeadlineNews Group, including DeadlineNews.Com, a real estate news and consulting service and Web site, and the Deadline Newsroom, DeadlineNews.Com's news back shop.

Under the DeadlineNews Group umbrella:

Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
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Tuesday, August 9, 2011

Price, package, patience keys for selling in today's market

by Broderick Perkins
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Deadline Newsroom - If you aren't willing to price your home to compete with distressed properties and package it to look like a good flip, you may be better off being patient and holding it off the market until you can get the price you really want.

Sellers forced to sell their home right now are getting creamed.

One of every six real estate agents (about 17 percent) the National Association of Realtors (NAR) polled in June reported signed contracts were cancelled before the close of escrow. That was way up from only one in 25 agents (4 percent) in May suffering cancellations and over the past 16 months, the rate of cancellations has only be 8 to 10 percent, according to NAR's June resale homes report.

It's a buyers market, but buyers aren't buying it, either because they can't hack stiff underwriting requirements or appraisals are coming in too low for lenders to risk financing.

Get the full story here: Home Sellers Fight an Uphill Battle

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Broderick Perkins, an award-winning consumer journalist, parlayed 30 years of old-school journalism into a digital real estate news service, the San Jose, CA-based DeadlineNews Group, including DeadlineNews.Com, a real estate news and consulting service and Web site, and the Deadline Newsroom, DeadlineNews.Com's news back shop.

Under the DeadlineNews Group umbrella:

Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
National Real Estate Examiner
National Consumer News Examiner
National Offbeat News Examiner

Other DeadlineNews Group Feeds are available from DeadlineNews.Com.

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Monday, August 1, 2011

Buyers' Market: Distressed Properties vs. Traditional Listings

The discount alone appears to be enough to make distressed properties a better deal than more expensive traditional listings -- if it doesn't needs a lot of work, if you can out-bid the investor and if you've got time to make the deal pencil, among other "ifs."

by Broderick Perkins
© 2011 DeadlineNews.Com
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Deadline Newsroom - Distressed homes come with deeply discounted prices, but their prices continue to tumble. Homes sold the traditional way cost more, but prices are more stable.

CoreLogic's latest "U.S. Housing and Mortgage Trends" report, issued in late July says traditional home prices appear to be doing better than homes in the distressed sector and the trend is expected to continue.

CoreLogic reported its home price index of traditional home sales dropped only 0.4 percent from a year ago. Toss in distressed properties and the index was down 7.4 percent.

The report also says while the prices of traditional existing and new homes have returned to 2009 levels, prices for bank-owned foreclosures and short sale transactions -- distressed homes -- are 10 percent below 2009 levels and "continue to decline," CoreLogic reports.

So far this year, distressed sales nationwide accounted for one in three of all homes sales, 33 percent. In 30 major cities CoreLogic tracks, the price discount on distressed sales ranges from about 20 to 60 percent, or an average of about 40 percent.

The discount alone appears to be enough to make distressed properties a good deal.

But there's more to consider. Get the full story here: "What’s the Best Buy? Bargain or Full-Priced Real Estate?"

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Broderick Perkins, an award-winning consumer journalist, parlayed 30 years of old-school journalism into a digital real estate news service, the San Jose, CA-based DeadlineNews Group, including DeadlineNews.Com, a real estate news and consulting service and Web site, and the Deadline Newsroom, DeadlineNews.Com's news back shop.

Under the DeadlineNews Group umbrella:

Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
National Real Estate Examiner
National Consumer News Examiner
National Offbeat News Examiner

Other DeadlineNews Group Feeds are available from DeadlineNews.Com.

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Wednesday, June 8, 2011

S&P/Case-Shiller index confirms 'double-dip,' home buying opportunities

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One of the most watched home price indexes, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices says home prices have sunk so low buying a home today will cost you what it cost a decade ago -- or less if you swing a big negotiating stick.

by Broderick Perkins
© 2011 DeadlineNews.Com
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Deadline Newsroom - If you are looking for somewhere to park investment money, savings or discretionary income, consider residential real estate.

Home prices are back where they were in 2002.

And if you snag a distressed property you'll get it at what amounts to a 20 percent discount off the list price of a similar, traditionally listed resale home.

One of the most watched home price indexes, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices says home prices have sunk so low buying a home today will cost you what it cost a decade ago -- or less if you swing a big negotiating stick.

S&P/Case-Shiller says it's index for single-family homes fell 5.1 percent to a new recession low in the first quarter 2011, compared to the first quarter 2010.

For the month of March 2011, only Washington, D.C. homes enjoyed a price gain (4.3 percent), compared to March 2010, as home prices tumbled in the other 19 of the 20 indexed Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) for the same period.

Twelve of the 20 MSAs and the 20-City Composite posted new lows.

"This month's report is marked by the confirmation of a double-dip in home prices across much of the nation," said David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Indices.

Blitzer added, "The National Index, the 20-City Composite and 12 MSAs all hit new lows with data reported through March 2011. The National Index fell 4.2 percent over the first quarter alone, and is down 5.1 percent compared to its year-ago level."

Minneapolis posted a double-digit 10 percent annual decline, the first market to be back in this territory since March 2010 when Las Vegas was down 12.0 percent on an annual basis. Seattle was up a modest 0.1 percent for the month, but still down 7.5 percent versus March 2010.

In March, the 10- and 20-City Composites posted annual rates of decline of 2.9 percent and 3.6 percent, respectively. Thirteen of the 20 MSAs and both monthly Composites saw their annual growth rates fall deeper into negative territory in March. While they did not worsen, Chicago, Phoenix and Seattle saw no improvement in their respective annual rates.

"Home prices continue on their downward spiral with no relief in sight.” said Blitzer

"Since December 2010, we have found an increasing number of markets posting new lows. In March 2011, 12 cities - Atlanta, Charlotte, Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, Las Vegas, Miami, Minneapolis, New York, Phoenix, Portland (OR) and Tampa - fell to their lowest levels as measured by the current housing cycle," he added.

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© 2010 DeadlineNews.Com

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You are reading a sample of "News that really hits home!" now available from several beats and published in a growing number of locations.

Broderick Perkins, an award-winning consumer journalist, parlayed 30 years of old-school journalism into a digital real estate news service, the San Jose, CA-based DeadlineNews Group, including DeadlineNews.Com, a real estate news and consulting service and Web site, and the Deadline Newsroom, DeadlineNews.Com's news back shop.

Under the DeadlineNews Group umbrella:

Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
National Real Estate Examiner
National Consumer News Examiner
National Offbeat News Examiner

Other DeadlineNews Group Feeds are available from DeadlineNews.Com.

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Tuesday, June 7, 2011

Appreciating housing markets share key indicators

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Isolated metropolitan areas are enjoying home price appreciation levels ranging from a flat 0.1 percent to a booming 12.2 percent, at least according to the National Association of Realtors' (NAR) 1st Quarter 2011 Metropolitan Median Area Prices

by Broderick Perkins
© 2011 DeadlineNews.Com
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Deadline Newsroom - Home prices have crashed back to 2002 levels and the double dip is on, but nearly three dozen markets are enjoying varying levels of home price appreciation.

A few of those markets experienced double digit gains, but maintained affordable prices and status as a buyer's market.

The much watched Case-Shiller National Home Price Index for single-family homes fell 5.1 percent to a new recession low in the first quarter 2011, compared to the first quarter 2010.

For the month of March 2011, only Washington, D.C. homes enjoyed a price gain (4.3 percent), compared to March 2010, as home prices tumbled in the other 19 of the 20 indexed Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) for the same period.

Twelve of the 20 MSAs and the 20-City Composite posted new lows.

"This month’s report is marked by the confirmation of a double-dip in home prices across much of the nation," said David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Indices.

However, isolated metropolitan areas are enjoying home price appreciation levels ranging from a flat 0.1 percent to a booming 12.2 percent, at least according to the National Association of Realtors' (NAR) 1st Quarter 2011 Metropolitan Median Area Prices.

Get the full story here: "Appreciating Housing Markets Share Key Indicators"

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You are reading a sample of "News that really hits home!" now available from several beats and published in a growing number of locations.

Broderick Perkins, an award-winning consumer journalist, parlayed 30 years of old-school journalism into a digital real estate news service, the San Jose, CA-based DeadlineNews Group, including DeadlineNews.Com, a real estate news and consulting service and Web site, and the Deadline Newsroom, DeadlineNews.Com's news back shop.

Under the DeadlineNews Group umbrella:

Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
National Real Estate Examiner
National Consumer News Examiner
National Offbeat News Examiner

Other DeadlineNews Group Feeds are available from DeadlineNews.Com.

DeadlineNews.Com's Editorial Content Is Intellectual Property • Unauthorized Use Is A Federal Crime


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Friday, May 13, 2011

Predicted home price 'double dip' arrives, price bottom delayed until 2012

And it comes with the lowest interest rates of the year, but tight credit and slow employment gains aren't allowing buyers to cash in on renewed affordability.

by Broderick Perkins
© 2010 DeadlineNews.Com
Enter The Deadline Newsroom
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Deadline Newsroom - The long anticipated double-dip in home prices has arrived.

Also see: Less filling 'double-dip' doom looms

And it comes with the lowest interest rates of the year, but tight credit and slow employment gains aren't allowing buyers to cash in on renewed affordability.

U.S. home values fell 3 percent from the last quarter 2010 to the first quarter this year, posting the largest quarter-over-quarter decline since the fourth quarter of 2008, when many thought the housing market had bottomed, according to the Zillow Home Value Index.

Now, says Zillow, a new home price bottom isn't likely until 2012, according to Zillow's revised forecast.

US Zillow Home Value Index


Zillow said the first quarter home value decline matches the worst of the housing recession thus far. Negative equity reached a new high -- 28.4 percent of all single-family homeowners suffer mortgages that are underwater (the mortgage is greater than they home is worth), up from 27 percent in fourth quarter of 2010.

Zillow said home values are down 8.2 percent since the first quarter last year and down 29.5 percent since they peaked in June 2006.

The report is similar to Clear Capital's findings which found home prices dropped 4.9 percent quarter-to-quarter, slid 5 percent year-over-year and now stand at 42 percent below the market peak in mid-2006.

Clear Capital also reported home prices are 0.7 percent below the prior low set in March 2009.

A growing number of distressed properties flooding the market are contributing to the double dip in home prices.

Zillow said foreclosures rose throughout the first quarter as banks unfroze moratoriums and allowed foreclosures to resume. Foreclosures had fallen in late 2010, due to the slew of moratoriums brought about by the "robo-signing" controversy.

RealtyTrac reported foreclosure filings on 239,795 U.S. properties in March this year, a 7 percent increase from the previous month. The figure was down from 367,056 a year ago March, RealtyTrac's highest monthly foreclosure total since 2005.

Contributing to affordability that comes with lower home prices, interest rates last week fell to an average 4.71 percent for 30-year, conforming, fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs), matching the year's lowest rate originally set back on Jan. 13, according to Freddie Mac's weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

Unfortunately, credit remains tight and employment unstable. Unemployment rose to 9 percent in April, after falling from 9.4 percent in December 2010 to 8.8 percent in March this year.

"Home value declines are currently equal to those we experienced during the darkest days of the housing recession. With accelerating declines during the first quarter, it is unreasonable to expect home values to return to stability by the end of 2011," said Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Stan Humphries.

"We did expect substantial payback from the homebuyer tax credits, which buoyed the housing market last year, but underlying demand post-tax credit, as well as rising foreclosures and high negative equity rates, make it almost certain that we won't see a bottom in home values until 2012 or later," Humphries said.

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© 2010 DeadlineNews.Com

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You are reading a sample of "News that really hits home!" now available from several beats and published in a growing number of locations.

Broderick Perkins, an award-winning consumer journalist, parlayed 30 years of old-school journalism into a digital real estate news service, the San Jose, CA-based DeadlineNews Group, including DeadlineNews.Com, a real estate news and consulting service and Web site, and the Deadline Newsroom, DeadlineNews.Com's news back shop.

Under the DeadlineNews Group umbrella:

Perkins is managing editor of HomeAway.com's Gulf Coast Response Center.

Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
National Real Estate Examiner
National Consumer News Examiner
National Offbeat News Examiner

Other DeadlineNews Group Feeds are available from DeadlineNews.Com.

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Wednesday, May 11, 2011

Should you buy a home or rent one?

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Dust off and crank up that rent-vs-buy calculator (We have three here to choose from). The housing market is mixed with some areas offering homes to buy that are cheaper than renting. Other markets yield better deals in the rental sector.

by Broderick Perkins
© 2010 DeadlineNews.Com
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Deadline Newsroom - It's time to dust off and crank up that rent-vs-buy calculator.

The housing market is mixed with some areas offering homes to buy that are cheaper than renting. Other markets yield better deals in the rental sector.

Trulia's Second Quarter 2011 Rent vs. Buy Index compares the cost of buying and renting a two-bedroom apartment, condominium or townhouse in the 50 largest U.S. cities and found buying a home has become more affordable than renting in nearly four out of five major cities.

On one hand, the growing level of distressed housing has helped push home prices down by a "double dip" factor to levels not seen in more than a decade. Low mortgage interest rates are also cooperating.

Trulia says buying a home is a better deal in Las Vegas, NV; Phoenix, AZ; Arlington, TX; Fresno, CA; Miami, FL and Mesa, AZ among other cities.

Even with home buying affordability better than it's been in years, unemployment remains high and qualifying for a mortgage is so tough rentals are feeling the pressure of displaced demand.

Renting is a better deal in New York City, NY; Fort Worth, TX; Kansas City, KS; Los Angeles, CA; Memphis, TN; and Seattle, WA, among others, according to Trulia.

The National Multi Housing Council's (NMHC) latest Quarterly Survey of Apartment Market Conditions for the first quarter this year found the "Market Tightness Index," at 90, as high as it's ever been.

The survey polls more than 100 CEOs and other senior executives of apartment-related firms nationwide and found that almost four in five respondents (79 percent) said markets were tighter (lower vacancies and/or higher rents) and -- for the first time ever -- not a single respondent thought conditions were looser.

A reading above 50 indicates improving market conditions, below 50 indicates worsening market conditions.

"These results show the apartment industry continues to do well even though the nation's overall rate of economic growth has slowed. This is driven largely by the increased appeal of renting generally but also by the large number of young people entering the housing market for the first time -- and young people are much more likely to rent than buy," said NMHC Chief Economist Mark Obrinsky.

For those going the rental route, a long term lease that locks in the monthly rental payment is the better deal because demand for rental housing is expected to increase, says Bruce Hahn, president of the American Homeowners Foundation.

"Boomerang kids, children who were forced to move back in with their parents, will be looking for their own place as they find jobs. Most don't have much in savings, and since lenders are requiring larger down payments these days, buying is not an option for most of them," says Hahn.

There's also a multi-generational movement among families and groups sharing to save money on housing purchased or rented.

The demand pendulum will ultimately swing back in the direction of home ownership, says Lesley Deutch Vice President at John Burns Real Estate Consulting.

She says as rents continue to increase and owner-occupied housing prices continue to fall or remain flat, for-sale housing markets will begin to look more attractive. Many tenants simply cannot afford a rent increase, and will choose to downgrade the quality of their housing or take on roommates.

Deutch says, as housing rents rise, housing markets with high single-family vacancy rates provide some competition for the rental sector. States with high vacancy rates include Nevada, Florida, Michigan, Georgia and Rhode Island.

Because the rent-vs-buy calculation varies by locality, consumers need to compare costs where they plan to buy or rent.

Several calculators can help.

Erate.com's "Rent vs. Buy Calculator" is a down-and-dirty quick comparison of rent, insurance, and expected rate of rental increases vs. home buying costs, property tax costs, upkeep costs, insurance and selling costs, but also appreciation. Use this calculator as a starting point, to quickly determine which type of housing is best for you.

Realtor.com's "Rent or Buy" calculator tosses in more variables, including the real estate agents commission, rate of inflation and homeowner association dues (if any) to get you even closer to a real comparison. Use this calculator to hone in on what housing is best for you.

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland's "Buy a Home or Rent?" calculator is really a worksheet that provides a host of variables many calculators don't consider. Produced by O. Emre Ergungor, a senior research economist and Saeed Zaman a senior economic analyst, both in the fed bank's research department, this calculator is for those who are financial planning nit-pickers who want to get closer to the absolute rent-vs-buy bottom line.


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© 2010 DeadlineNews.Com

Advertise on DeadlineNews.Com | Shop DeadlineNews.Com

Get "News that really hits home!" for your Web site or blog from the DeadlineNewsGroup.Com.

You are reading a sample of "News that really hits home!" now available from several beats and published in a growing number of locations.

Broderick Perkins, an award-winning consumer journalist, parlayed 30 years of old-school journalism into a digital real estate news service, the San Jose, CA-based DeadlineNews Group, including DeadlineNews.Com, a real estate news and consulting service and Web site, and the Deadline Newsroom, DeadlineNews.Com's news back shop.

Under the DeadlineNews Group umbrella:

Perkins is managing editor of HomeAway.com's Gulf Coast Response Center.

Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
National Real Estate Examiner
National Consumer News Examiner
National Offbeat News Examiner

Other DeadlineNews Group Feeds are available from DeadlineNews.Com.

DeadlineNews.Com's Editorial Content Is Intellectual Property • Unauthorized Use Is A Federal Crime


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Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Bank owned property boom, bonanza for buyers

Clear Capital's Home Data Index (HDI) Market Report for March, reported that housing prices in the West were the first to experience a rebound from prior bottom prices, only to sink again, and suffer what's called a "double dip." The rest of the nation wasn't far behind.

by Broderick Perkins
© 2010 DeadlineNews.Com
Enter The Deadline Newsroom
Unauthorized use of this story is a copyright violation -- a federal crime

Deadline Newsroom - The long anticipated "double-dip" in home prices has arrived and it's fueling a fast-spreading fire sale in every corner of the nation's housing market.

The weak economy and a second surge in discounted bank-owned properties are behind the second-time-around dip that's positioning more and more fence-sitters for a clear shot at bargain-basement deals throughout the rest of the year.

Clear Capital's Home Data Index (HDI) Market Report for March, reported that housing prices in the West were the first to enjoy a rebound from prior bottom prices, only to sink again, and suffer what's called a "double dip."

Get the full story here: Bank Owned Property Boom, Economy Deliver Double-Dip Bonanza For Buyers

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© 2010 DeadlineNews.Com

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Get "News that really hits home!" for your Web site or blog from the DeadlineNewsGroup.Com.

You are reading a sample of "News that really hits home!" now available from several beats and published in a growing number of locations.

Broderick Perkins, an award-winning consumer journalist, parlayed 30 years of old-school journalism into a digital real estate news service, the San Jose, CA-based DeadlineNews Group, including DeadlineNews.Com, a real estate news and consulting service and Web site, and the Deadline Newsroom, DeadlineNews.Com's news back shop.

Under the DeadlineNews Group umbrella:

Perkins is managing editor of HomeAway.com's Gulf Coast Response Center.

Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
National Real Estate Examiner
National Consumer News Examiner
National Offbeat News Examiner

Other DeadlineNews Group Feeds are available from DeadlineNews.Com.

DeadlineNews.Com's Editorial Content Is Intellectual Property • Unauthorized Use Is A Federal Crime


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Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Most say it's a good time to buy, fewer see housing as a good investment

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Peter Taffee, attorney
with firm restaurateurs
hired for BP claims
Most Americans believe the housing market has hit the bottom and that it's a good time to buy, but they are aware prospects for fast returns on a home as an investment are slim.

by Broderick Perkins
© 2010 DeadlineNews.Com
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Unauthorized use of this story is a copyright violation -- a federal crime


Deadline Newsroom - Most Americans believe the housing market has hit the bottom and that it's a good time to buy, in part because many also think rents will rise faster than home prices.

Fannie Mae's latest nation housing survey found that 70 percent of Americans think it's a good time to buy a home, up from 64 percent in January.

By an overwhelming majority, 78 percent, also believe home prices will either hold steady or increase over the next year, compared to 85 percent believing the same thing about rental increases.

While Americans expect rents to rise by 3.6 percent on average, home prices are expected to turn up only by 0.9 percent, Fannie Mae found.

"Given the remaining level of shadow inventory, as well as the high number of adjustable rate resets still looming which could in turn lead to further defaults, it is difficult to see the supply of housing falling in an amount sufficient to move prices upwards in many parts of the country," said Nancy Osborne, chief operating officer of Erate.com, a Santa Clara, CA-based financial information publisher and interest rate tracker.

Also 67 percent believe housing is a safe investment, down three points since January and down 16 percentage points from a similar 2003 survey and the largest drop by far among all investment types tracked since then. Housing ranked second behind putting money into a savings or money market account (76 percent).

"Our survey shows that consumers see a mixed outlook for housing and homeownership," said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae's vice president and chief economist.

"These findings indicate a return to a more balanced and realistic approach toward housing. While this will likely weigh on the housing recovery in the near-term, it should, over time, help to build a stronger and healthier market focused on sustainable homeownership," he added.

The Fannie Mae National Housing Survey polled homeowners and renters between June 2010 and July 2010 and compared the findings to similar surveys released earlier this year and 2003.

The survey also found:

• Mortgage borrowers (74 percent) and underwater borrowers (69 percent) are more likely to say owning a home is a safe investment than delinquent borrowers (57 percent) and renters (54 percent). However, this measure has fallen among all sub-groups since January, with delinquent borrowers and renters showing the largest declines, down eight and seven points, respectively.

• More than 70 percent of all respondents believe it will be harder for the next generation to buy a home, up three points from the beginning of the year.

• Fifty-four percent think it would be very difficult or somewhat difficult to get a home loan today, down six points since January.

• Thirty-three percent of all Americans said they would be more likely to rent rather than buy if they were going to move, up from 30 percent in January.

• Among renters, 60 percent said they would rent again if they were to move, up from 54 percent in January. However, 69 percent of renters think it makes more sense to buy a home than to rent.

• Mortgage borrowers (83 percent) and underwater borrowers (77 percent) remain bullish on housing and said they are more likely to buy in the future than rent — both groups increased two points from January.

"If you couple this (high inventories and rate resets) with the reality that it is far more difficult to obtain a mortgage as well as a job, when selling a home to someone who presumably needs financing to buy it, housing is still facing a conundrum." Osborne added.

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Monday, September 13, 2010

Oil spill sinks home prices, sales

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Oil Spill Distress Syndrome hits three in 10
Only four months after the onset of the Gulf oil disaster, the event is taking a toll on the housing market, as some coastal areas face home values slipping by as much as 15 percent, while others see sales sliding by more than 30 percent.

by Broderick Perkins
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Deadline Newsroom - As predicted, and only four months after the onset of the Gulf oil disaster, the event is taking a toll on the housing market, as some coastal areas face home values slipping by as much as 15 percent, while others see sales sliding by more than 30 percent.

One in four real estate professionals in Gulf Coast region reported the oil spill's negative effects on real estate markets even in areas with no physical damage, far inland from the coast, according to a survey by Clear Capital, a Truckee, CA-based real estate data firm.

While much of housing downturn is attributed to the oil disaster and related stigma, high unemployment and the expired tax credit are also exacerbating the problem.

"Many of these local markets in the Gulf have already experienced significant price declines over the last few years as well as a recent drop off in sales volume after the tax credit expiration. Additional downward pressure in the form of stigma and loss of employment will only serve to further dampen home price recovery," said Dr. Alex Villacorta, a statistician at Clear Capital.

VIllacorta added, "While social stigma appears to be the largest factor influencing the slowdown in home buying activity, it is clear the effects of the spill are being felt well inland from the coast."

Earlier studies reported some real estate properties could lose as much as 30 percent in value due to the oil disaster and it's not certain how or if the new Gulf Coast Claims Facility will honor claims based on lost property value.

The Clear Capital report found:

• More than 50 percent of those reporting a negative impact also reported a decrease in housing values by 5-15 percent.

• The number of sales has dropped dramatically year-over-year in many markets, even those that have not experienced a decrease in price or physical oil damage.

• Much of the negative impact reported was social stigma, misconceptions and ill-conceived perceptions due to a high degree of uncertainty.

Other highlights of the Clear Capital report

The report also said Real estate agents from southern coastal area of Alabama and the Florida Panhandle reported the greatest concentration of physically affected areas and estimated at least a 5-15 percent decrease in property values.

In Mobile, AL, for example, the home sales fell 25 percent in June from one year ago.

In Panama City, FL, prior to the oil spill, April sales were up nearly 11 percent, but agents reported to Clear Capital sales tanked by 32.5 percent in June this year, compared to last June.

Likewise, St. Petersburg, FL, far from any effects of the oil spill, enjoyed home sales increasing by as much as 18 percent in the spring, but by the end of June, sales were down by nearly 9 percent compared to last year.

Still recovering from Hurricane Katrina, New Orleans saw a nearly 13 percent drop in home sales in May and a dramatic 37.9 percent tumble in June.

More than 75 percent of real estate agents polled said there was no impact from the oil spill on their market, but 41.4 percent of agents in unaffected areas were unsure about the future and another 15.3 percent nevertheless anticipate a decline in housing prices.

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Perkins is managing editor of HomeAway.com's Gulf Coast Response Center.

Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
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National Consumer News Examiner
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Thursday, July 29, 2010

Housing's fire sale continues

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I survived Gulf disaster
As of July 1, one in four listings on the market experienced at least one price reduction, as sellers went after buyers with a vengeance.

by Broderick Perkins
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Deadline Newsroom - As of July 1, 25 percent of listings on the market experienced at least one price reduction, as sellers went after buyers with a vengeance.

That's a 9 percent increase from the previous month according to Trulia.com the real estate search engine reporting the news.

And, buyers? Take note.

The average discount for price-reduced homes continued to hold at 10 percent off of the original listing price.

That's a cool $50,000 off a $500,000 home for sale.

Many of the largest U.S. cities saw significant increases in price reduction levels. Twenty-two of the top 50 cities across the U.S. experienced price reduction levels at 30 percent or more, compared to just 10 cities in the previous month.

Trulia reported Minneapolis led the way with 40 percent of its home listings experiencing at least one price cut in the third straight month that Minneapolis has held the top spot.

• Erate has the full Housing's fire sale continues story.

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Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
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Wednesday, July 21, 2010

San Francisco Bay Area ground zero for national housing recovery

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Go offbeat! Click my head!
"Right now, the Bay Area is leading California's recovery because the area has fewer sub prime loans and this area is truly unique, with unique properties."

by Broderick Perkins
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Deadline Newsroom - With some Golden State home prices skyrocketing again, the focus is turning to the California region that could be truly ground zero platinum for the nation's next real estate boom.

According to California Association of Realtors (CAR) vice president and chief economist Leslie Appleton-Young, the San Francisco Bay Area, including Silicon Valley, is at the top of the heap.

"Right now, the Bay Area is leading California's recovery because the area has fewer subprime loans and this area is truly unique, with unique properties," Appleton-Young said at a recent Silicon Valley Association of Realtors (SILVAR) meeting in Palo Alto last week.

Even the Bay Area weather is cooperating. After several unusually heat-wave filled summers, the region has returned to its temperate-best Mediterranean like climate, a perfect inducement for home shopping.

In May, 8,264 homes closed escrows in the nine-county San Francisco Bay Area, up 18 percent from April and 11 percent from May 2009, according to MDA DataQuick.

In the Bay Area, the May median price of all homes was $410,000 up smartly more than 20 percent from May 2009.

That's a boom time pace.

In Santa Clara County (Silicon Valley), sales were up 28.2 percent from the previous year and the median price of $525,000 was up 18 percent from $445,000 in May of 2009.

Again, boom time stuff.

"The fortunes of California, including its state coffers, tend to rise and fall along with the returns generated in the stock market. A significant rise in the median price of a home in the Bay Area is likely linked to the dramatic recovery seen in the stock market in the past year, particularly in the tech sector, as market returns translate into home-buying cash," said Nancy Osborne, chief operating officer of Erate.com, a Santa Clara, CA-based financial information publisher and interest rate tracker.

Dataquick pointed out the median sale price of all homes moved above $400,000 for the first time in 21 months because of action in the mid- to high-end markets of $500,000-plus homes, as sales fell in many affordable inland areas where investors and first-time buyers faced a dwindling inventory of low-cost foreclosures.

"The median has increased because the high end is making a comeback as there is a little more willingness on the part of sellers to take concessions; there are fewer distressed properties in the Bay Area compared to the rest of the state; and the jumbo market has started loosening for high-end borrowers," Dataquick reported.

California's volatile housing market is known for fast stops and faster starts.

Appleton-Young, often conservative in her estimates, said in five to 10 years California will see the beginning of a housing shortage and that could cause skyrocketing prices -- again.

She told the SILVAR meeting there has been an 83 percent drop in building of new homes since 2004, yet household growth for the state is projected at approximately 200,000 a year.

When demand outpaces supply, boom happens.


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Broderick Perkins, an award-winning consumer journalist, parlayed 30 years of old-school journalism into a digital real estate news service, the San Jose, CA-based DeadlineNews Group, including DeadlineNews.Com, a real estate news and consulting service and Web site, and the Deadline Newsroom, DeadlineNews.Com's news back shop.

Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
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Tuesday, June 29, 2010

California home prices golden again, sales rusty

Since the home price trough in February 2009, single-family, detached home prices in California have risen a golden 32.3 percent from $245,230 to $324,430, as of May 10, according to the California Association of Realtors.

by Broderick Perkins
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Deadline Newsroom - California's home prices are literally skyrocketing again, soaring in some of the Golden States' largest metro areas by 30 percent to more than 50 percent in little more than a year.

The price surge may be an indication of California's readiness to take the lead again in the nation's housing recovery -- if it can only get its sales engine going.

Fence-sitters and those looking to go West and put down stakes?

Take note.

California's home prices have been known to take off like wildfires, burning buyers who waited for the bottom only to find it long gone and themselves priced out of the market -- again.


California led the nation as one of the states hardest hit by foreclosures and did not fully hit bottom until February last year, according to the California Association of Realtors (CAR).

However, since that home price trough in February 2009, single-family, detached home prices have risen a whopping 32.3 percent from $245,230 to $324,430, as of May 10, according to CAR.

Get the full story here: "California home prices shine golden again, sales rusty"


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© 2010 DeadlineNews.Com

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Get "News that really hits home!" for your Web site or blog from the DeadlineNewsGroup.Com.

You are reading a sample of "News that really hits home!", now available from several beats and published in a growing number of locations.

Broderick Perkins, an award-winning consumer journalist, parlayed 30 years of old-school journalism into a digital real estate news service, the San Jose, CA-based DeadlineNews Group, including DeadlineNews.Com, a real estate news and consulting service and Web site, and the Deadline Newsroom, DeadlineNews.Com's news back shop.

Perkins was the first Examiner to cover three beats for the Examiner.com news service:
National Offbeat News Examiner
National Consumer News Examiner
National Real Estate Examiner

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